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Are We Living In Nick Bostrom’s Speculation: различия между версиями
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== Posthuman stage in the far future == | == Posthuman stage in the far future == | ||
Bostrom says “[the] simulation argument works equally well for those who think that it will take hundreds of thousands of years to reach a “posthuman” stage of civilisation”. But this is not the case. The development of posthuman civilisation in the base reality may take much longer than in a simulation, for example because all simulations have accelerated scientific and technological development for convenience of the observers. If that is the case, the <i>H<sub>base</sub></i> value (the number of people who lived in the base civilisation before it reached the posthuman stage) can be much greater than [[Image: | Bostrom says “[the] simulation argument works equally well for those who think that it will take hundreds of thousands of years to reach a “posthuman” stage of civilisation”. But this is not the case. The development of posthuman civilisation in the base reality may take much longer than in a simulation, for example because all simulations have accelerated scientific and technological development for convenience of the observers. If that is the case, the <i>H<sub>base</sub></i> value (the number of people who lived in the base civilisation before it reached the posthuman stage) can be much greater than [[Image:image006.gif|top]]. That would force <i>f<sub>sim</sub></i>, to be much lower, making the probability of living in a real world much higher. | ||
= VI. Errors in The Interpretation of the Simulation Argument = | = VI. Errors in The Interpretation of the Simulation Argument = | ||