Are We Living In Nick Bostrom’s Speculation: различия между версиями

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Bostrom claims: “Therefore, if we don’t think that we are currently living in a computer simulation, we are not entitled to believe that we will have descendants who will run lots of such simulations of their forebears.” [1]. But if there are no nested simulations than it is only possible to have simulations in the base reality and we arrive at completely opposite conclusion. In this case if we believe that our descendants (or ourselves) will run simulations, we live in the real world.
Bostrom claims: “Therefore, if we don’t think that we are currently living in a computer simulation, we are not entitled to believe that we will have descendants who will run lots of such simulations of their forebears.” [1]. But if there are no nested simulations than it is only possible to have simulations in the base reality and we arrive at completely opposite conclusion. In this case if we believe that our descendants (or ourselves) will run simulations, we live in the real world.


It therefore makes sense to examine the probable reasons that may cause simulated civilisations to be unable to run their own simulations or become posthuman. There are several such reasons possible.# It might be too expensive to run a nested simulation (running nested simulations can increase the computational cost of the first-level simulation very quickly).  
It therefore makes sense to examine the probable reasons that may cause simulated civilisations to be unable to run their own simulations or become posthuman. There are several such reasons possible.
 
# It might be too expensive to run a nested simulation (running nested simulations can increase the computational cost of the first-level simulation very quickly).  
# It might be technically impossible due to the laws of nature in the simulation.  
# It might be technically impossible due to the laws of nature in the simulation.  
# The parent civilisation may unobtrusively prohibit running the nested simulation or even thinking about doing that. Since the base reality civilisation will have complete control over the simulation, it can easily do that. The base reality civilisation may have no interest in having nested simulations. Since the purposes of creating simulations are to a large extent selfish, if creation of nested simulations does not serve these purposes, the base civilisation will have an option to prohibit that.  
# The parent civilisation may unobtrusively prohibit running the nested simulation or even thinking about doing that. Since the base reality civilisation will have complete control over the simulation, it can easily do that. The base reality civilisation may have no interest in having nested simulations. Since the purposes of creating simulations are to a large extent selfish, if creation of nested simulations does not serve these purposes, the base civilisation will have an option to prohibit that.  
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