Are We Living In Nick Bostrom’s Speculation: различия между версиями

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Are We Living In Nick Bostrom’s Speculation (править)

Версия от 19:37, 21 августа 2024

694 байта убрано ,  21 август
→‎Errors in the formula
Строка 198: Строка 198:
<div style="text-align:center;">(2)</div>
<div style="text-align:center;">(2)</div>


The next problem is that the [[Image:image006.gif|top]]&nbsp;in the denominator of the formula (1) is a wrong value for the number of individuals that have lived in a ''base civilisation ''before it reaches a posthuman stage. This is a specific number that has nothing whatsoever in common with the average value for all civilisations in the metaverse. Therefore the next change is a replacement of [[Image:image020.gif|top]]&nbsp;with the new variable ''Hbase'', the number of people that lived in the base civilisation before it reached the posthuman stage:
The next problem is that the [[Image:image006.gif|top]]&nbsp;in the denominator of the formula (1) is a wrong value for the number of individuals that have lived in a ''base civilisation ''before it reaches a posthuman stage. This is a specific number that has nothing whatsoever in common with the average value for all civilisations in the metaverse. Therefore the next change is a replacement of [[Image:image006.gif|top]]&nbsp;with the new variable ''Hbase'', the number of people that lived in the base civilisation before it reached the posthuman stage:


[[Image:image022.gifImage18.png|top]]&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; (3)
[[Image:image022.gif|top]] (3)


A similar problem is that the number of simulations that the base civilisation runs is probably different from the average as well. An additional variable ''Nbase'' should be added. Assuming that the number of individuals in the first-level simulations is similar to the average for the simulations, the following change should be made:
A similar problem is that the number of simulations that the base civilisation runs is probably different from the average as well. An additional variable ''Nbase'' should be added. Assuming that the number of individuals in the first-level simulations is similar to the average for the simulations, the following change should be made:
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Источник — https://transhumanist.ru/Служебная:Сравнение_версий/9594

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