Are We Living In Nick Bostrom’s Speculation: различия между версиями

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== Infinite universes ==
== Infinite universes ==


One minor error in the formulas concerns a possibility of infinite number of civilisations. Frank Tipler [10] have shown how infinite computational capacity can be possible near the Omega Point, a hypothetical point prior to the Big Crunch (collapse of the Universe). Other scientists [16] extended this theory to the possibility of thermal death of the Universe (another possible outcome — the infinite expansion). If infinite computational capacity is possible, all variables used in the main formula ( ''fP'', [[Image:image004.gifImage6.png|top]] and [[Image:image006.gifImage7.png|top]]) are invalid. This does not invalidate the simulation argument, as the formula can easily be expanded to cover the case of infinite number of simulations, but it might affect some of the corollary arguments. A stronger objection is the possibility of multiple universes in reality (not being simulations) or multiple human civilisations in the base physical universe. This leads to a wide range of possibilities, such as:* The posthuman stage will only start after most of the human civilisations on different planets meet together (see below the arguments about posthuman stage being in the far future). This allows a larger number of real humans than in the case of one real civilisation and the same number of simulated realities.  
One minor error in the formulas concerns a possibility of infinite number of civilisations. Frank Tipler [10] have shown how infinite computational capacity can be possible near the Omega Point, a hypothetical point prior to the Big Crunch (collapse of the Universe). Other scientists [16] extended this theory to the possibility of thermal death of the Universe (another possible outcome — the infinite expansion). If infinite computational capacity is possible, all variables used in the main formula ( ''fP'', [[Image:image004.gifImage6.png|top]] and [[Image:image006.gifImage7.png|top]]) are invalid. This does not invalidate the simulation argument, as the formula can easily be expanded to cover the case of infinite number of simulations, but it might affect some of the corollary arguments. A stronger objection is the possibility of multiple universes in reality (not being simulations) or multiple human civilisations in the base physical universe. This leads to a wide range of possibilities, such as:
 
* The posthuman stage will only start after most of the human civilisations on different planets meet together (see below the arguments about posthuman stage being in the far future). This allows a larger number of real humans than in the case of one real civilisation and the same number of simulated realities.  
* Depending on the nature of the multiple universes, the difference between civilisations simulated in different universes might be negligible (see below arguments about identical people in simulations), while the difference between real civilisations in different universes is large enough. By considering several simulations to be just instances of the same one we reduce the number of simulated humans. Real humans, on the other hand, are still different in different universes.  
* Depending on the nature of the multiple universes, the difference between civilisations simulated in different universes might be negligible (see below arguments about identical people in simulations), while the difference between real civilisations in different universes is large enough. By considering several simulations to be just instances of the same one we reduce the number of simulated humans. Real humans, on the other hand, are still different in different universes.  


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