Are We Living In Nick Bostrom’s Speculation: различия между версиями

Строка 195: Строка 195:
The first necessary change is adding the total number of civilisations ''C'' to the formula:
The first necessary change is adding the total number of civilisations ''C'' to the formula:


[[Image:image018.gifImage15.png|top]]                                                                                                                        (2)
[[Image:image018.gif|top]]  
<div style="text-align:center;">(2)</div>


The next problem is that the [[Image:image019.gifImage16.png|top]]&nbsp;in the denominator of the formula (1) is a wrong value for the number of individuals that have lived in a ''base civilisation ''before it reaches a posthuman stage. This is a specific number that has nothing whatsoever in common with the average value for all civilisations in the metaverse. Therefore the next change is a replacement of [[Image:image020.gifImage17.png|top]]&nbsp;with the new variable ''Hbase'', the number of people that lived in the base civilisation before it reached the posthuman stage:
The next problem is that the [[Image:image019.gifImage16.png|top]]&nbsp;in the denominator of the formula (1) is a wrong value for the number of individuals that have lived in a ''base civilisation ''before it reaches a posthuman stage. This is a specific number that has nothing whatsoever in common with the average value for all civilisations in the metaverse. Therefore the next change is a replacement of [[Image:image020.gifImage17.png|top]]&nbsp;with the new variable ''Hbase'', the number of people that lived in the base civilisation before it reached the posthuman stage:
3667

правок