Immortality Roadmap: различия между версиями
Rodion (обсуждение | вклад) |
Rodion (обсуждение | вклад) |
||
| (не показаны 2 промежуточные версии этого же участника) | |||
| Строка 1: | Строка 1: | ||
{{languages|Дорожная карта бессмертия}} | |||
The '''Immortality Roadmap''' is an ongoing project from [[Alexey Turchin]] to map out key predictions and dependencies around the development of [[emerging technologies]] and [[existential risks]]. | The '''Immortality Roadmap''' is an ongoing project from [[Alexey Turchin]] to map out key predictions and dependencies around the development of [[emerging technologies]] and [[existential risks]]. | ||
| Строка 23: | Строка 25: | ||
rect 765 231 898 281 [[paradise]] | rect 765 231 898 281 [[paradise]] | ||
--> | --> | ||
== Existential risk analysis == | == Existential risk analysis == | ||
=== Global catastrophic risks connected with biological weapons and genetic engineering === | === Global catastrophic risks connected with biological weapons and genetic engineering === | ||
| Строка 61: | Строка 64: | ||
== External links == | == External links == | ||
* [http://immortality-roadmap.com/ immortality-roadmap.com] | * [http://immortality-roadmap.com/ immortality-roadmap.com] | ||
* [https://www.facebook.com/groups/816186605163066/ Facebook Group] | * [https://www.facebook.com/groups/816186605163066/ Facebook Group] | ||
Текущая версия от 19:38, 17 апреля 2021
The Immortality Roadmap is an ongoing project from Alexey Turchin to map out key predictions and dependencies around the development of emerging technologies and existential risks.
Whilst labelled "immortality", it actually outlines a path towards indefinite life extension.
The series of maps and charts cover a great many transhumanist technologies and serve as both an outline of transhumanism and materials for decision making and risk analysis.
Overview[править]
The following is a an interactive diagram of all core Immortality Immortality Roadmap themed maps created or under creation from Alexey Turchin.
Existential risk analysis[править]
Global catastrophic risks connected with biological weapons and genetic engineering[править]
This document outlines key areas of existential or otherwise serious global risk posed by biological weaponry and/or genetic engineering.[1]
Doomsday Argument[править]
The doomsday argument map makes the case that there is a greater than 50% probability that humanity will wipe itself out.[2]
Double scenarios of a global catastrophe[править]
This map discusses how a combination of two lesser risks could act in combination to create global catastrophe.[3]
AGI Failures Modes and Levels[править]
This map outlines different possible scenarios in which AI is either created under undesirable conditions or consequently leads to serious undesirable outcomes.[4]
How to Survive the End of the Universe[править]
This map deals with the posthuman problems associated with the estimated finate lifespan of the universe and how even in the far future annihilation may be avoided.[5]
Plan of Action to Prevent Human Extinction Risks[править]
A plan is outlined urging consideration and action around a variety of existential risks posed today.[6]
Typology of human extinction risks[править]
This map breaks risk down by their various type, from present through to future and hypothetical.[7]
Life extension[править]
Immortality Roadmap[править]
The immortality roadmap, or "roadmap to personal immortality" presents an overview of 4 different approaches towards radical life extension:[8]
- Plan A: Investment in anti-ageing therapies through to AI and mind uploading (most preferred)
- Plan B: Cryonics
- Plan C: Digital immortality
- Plan D: Very small chance immortality may already exist through a variety of means.
Digital Immortality[править]
The digital immortality map outlines various ways to capture digital information and how it might be used in the future to reconstruct varying levels of simulated people as a type of immortality.[9]
Other[править]
Simulation Hypothesis[править]
In the simulation map, different types of simulation hypotheses are explored.[10]
AGI Safety Solutions[править]
The AGI safety solutions map discusses various technological and philosophical ways in which AI might be made safe, or otherwise address the control problem.[11]
Roadmap of Roadmaps[править]
The overview document, "Roadmap of The Roadmaps" illustrates the development of the individual maps so far. The main issues are missing translations and the grouping of all maps by problems, solutions and end results.[12]
External links[править]
References[править]
- ↑ The map of global catastrophic risks connected with biological weapons and genetic engineering
- ↑ Doomsday Argument Map
- ↑ Double scenarios of a global catastrophe
- ↑ A Map: AGI Failures Modes and Levels
- ↑ A Roadmap: How to Survive the End of the Universe
- ↑ Roadmap: Plan of Action to Prevent Human Extinction Risks
- ↑ The map "Typology of human extinction risks" was published
- ↑ Immortality Roadmap
- ↑ Digital Immortality Map: How to collect enough information about yourself for future resurrection by AI
- ↑ Simulations Map: what is the most probable type of the simulation in which we live?
- ↑ AGI safety solutions map
- ↑ The Roadmap of Roadmap