https://transhumanist.ru/index.php?action=history&feed=atom&title=FuturismFuturism - История изменений2026-06-01T16:31:43ZИстория изменений этой страницы в викиMediaWiki 1.43.6https://transhumanist.ru/index.php?title=Futurism&diff=8640&oldid=prevRodion: Новая страница: «''Not to be confused with Futurism.com'' '''Futurism'''—also known as '''Future Studies''', '''Futurology''' and '''Foresight Studies'''—is the systematic exploration and evaluation of potential future scenarios. Evaluation criteria for scenarios include: * How credible is the scenario? * How attractive is the scenario (after any initial "future shock" has been set aside)? * What steps can be taken to prepare for the scenario? * W...»2023-01-14T11:57:03Z<p>Новая страница: «''Not to be confused with <a href="/index.php?title=Futurism.com&action=edit&redlink=1" class="new" title="Futurism.com (страница не существует)">Futurism.com</a>'' '''Futurism'''—also known as '''Future Studies''', '''Futurology''' and '''Foresight Studies'''—is the systematic exploration and evaluation of potential future scenarios. Evaluation criteria for scenarios include: * How credible is the scenario? * How attractive is the scenario (after any initial "<a href="/index.php?title=Future_Shock&action=edit&redlink=1" class="new" title="Future Shock (страница не существует)">future shock</a>" has been set aside)? * What steps can be taken to prepare for the scenario? * W...»</p>
<p><b>Новая страница</b></p><div>''Not to be confused with [[Futurism.com]]''<br />
<br />
'''Futurism'''—also known as '''Future Studies''', '''Futurology''' and '''Foresight Studies'''—is the systematic exploration and evaluation of potential future scenarios.<br />
<br />
Evaluation criteria for scenarios include:<br />
<br />
* How credible is the scenario?<br />
* How attractive is the scenario (after any initial "[[Future Shock|future shock]]" has been set aside)?<br />
* What steps can be taken to prepare for the scenario?<br />
* What steps can be taken to increase (or decrease) the likelihood of that scenario?<br />
<br />
== Important future scenarios ==<br />
<br />
Future scenarios (or types of scenario) that deserve highlighting include varieties of each of the following:<br />
<br />
* [[The Singularity]]<br />
* [[Existential risk]]<br />
* [[Existential opportunities]]<br />
* [[Technofeudalism]]<br />
* [[Technoscepticism]]<br />
* [[Technocapitalism]]<br />
* [[Technoconservatism]]<br />
* [[Technolibertarianism]]<br />
* [[Technoprogressivism]]<br />
* [[Cosmists vs. Terrans]]<br />
* [[Radical futurism]] - transhumanist scenarios within futurism<br />
<br />
== Methods of futurism ==<br />
<br />
Formal methods applied by futurists include:<br />
<br />
* [[Environmental scanning]]<br />
* [[Trend analysis]]<br />
* [[Cyclical pattern analysis]]<br />
* [[Cross impact analysis]]<br />
* [[Narrative development]]<br />
* [[Scenario development]]<br />
* [[Backcasting]]<br />
* [[Delphi method]]<br />
* [[Prediction markets]]<br />
* [[State of the Future Index]]<br />
* [[Superforecasting]]<br />
* [[Zoom out, zoom in]]<br />
<br />
== Significant futurist organizations ==<br />
<br />
* [[World Future Society | The World Future Society]]<br />
* [[Association of Professional Futurists]]<br />
* [http://www.millennium-project.org/ The Millennium Project]<br />
* [[Manchester Futurists]]<br />
* [http://www.iftf.org/ Institute for the Future]<br />
* [[London Futurists]]<br />
* [[Long Now Foundation]]<br />
* [[Futurism.com]] (a curated newsfeed)<br />
<br />
* [http://future.meetup.com/ List of meetup organisations that include "Futurist" (or similar) as a tag]<br />
<br />
== See also ==<br />
<br />
* [[Career options for futurists | Career options for aspiring futurists]]<br />
* [[Laws of Futurism]] lists statements sometimes described as 'laws', which can provide insight about futurism<br />
* [[Books]] lists books that provide helpful material about futurist methods<br />
* [[Reviews of predictions]] reviews historical sets of serious predictions about the future<br />
* [[Futurists ranked by influence]] a list maintained by [[Ross Dawson]]<br />
<br />
== External links ==<br />
* {{wikipedia|Futures studies}}<br />
[[Category:Futurism]]<br />
[[Category:Ideologies]]</div>Rodion