Редактирование: Futurism

''Not to be confused with [[Futurism.com]]''

'''Futurism'''—also known as '''Future Studies''', '''Futurology''' and '''Foresight Studies'''—is the systematic exploration and evaluation of potential future scenarios.

Evaluation criteria for scenarios include:

* How credible is the scenario?
* How attractive is the scenario (after any initial "[[Future Shock|future shock]]" has been set aside)?
* What steps can be taken to prepare for the scenario?
* What steps can be taken to increase (or decrease) the likelihood of that scenario?

== Important future scenarios ==

Future scenarios (or types of scenario) that deserve highlighting include varieties of each of the following:

* [[The Singularity]]
* [[Existential risk]]
* [[Existential opportunities]]
* [[Technofeudalism]]
* [[Technoscepticism]]
* [[Technocapitalism]]
* [[Technoconservatism]]
* [[Technolibertarianism]]
* [[Technoprogressivism]]
* [[Cosmists vs. Terrans]]
* [[Radical futurism]] - transhumanist scenarios within futurism

== Methods of futurism ==

Formal methods applied by futurists include:

* [[Environmental scanning]]
* [[Trend analysis]]
* [[Cyclical pattern analysis]]
* [[Cross impact analysis]]
* [[Narrative development]]
* [[Scenario development]]
* [[Backcasting]]
* [[Delphi method]]
* [[Prediction markets]]
* [[State of the Future Index]]
* [[Superforecasting]]
* [[Zoom out, zoom in]]

== Significant futurist organizations ==

* [[World Future Society | The World Future Society]]
* [[Association of Professional Futurists]]
* [http://www.millennium-project.org/ The Millennium Project]
* [[Manchester Futurists]]
* [http://www.iftf.org/ Institute for the Future]
* [[London Futurists]]
* [[Long Now Foundation]]
* [[Futurism.com]] (a curated newsfeed)

* [http://future.meetup.com/ List of meetup organisations that include "Futurist" (or similar) as a tag]

== See also ==

* [[Career options for futurists | Career options for aspiring futurists]]
* [[Laws of Futurism]] lists statements sometimes described as 'laws', which can provide insight about futurism
* [[Books]] lists books that provide helpful material about futurist methods
* [[Reviews of predictions]] reviews historical sets of serious predictions about the future
* [[Futurists ranked by influence]] a list maintained by [[Ross Dawson]]

== External links ==
* {{wikipedia|Futures studies}}
[[Category:Futurism]]
[[Category:Ideologies]]