Редактирование: Existential risks (раздел)

== Key risks and scenarios ==
The following list of risk encompasses long-term dystopian scenarios in addition to traditionally defined existential risks.
=== Exotic ===
* [[Extraterrestrial beings#Alien intervention| Alien intervention]]
** Examples: [[Contact]], [[Independence Day]], Knowing<ref>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Knowing_(film)</ref>
** Causing: Direct destruction of humanity, natural/cosmic disasters or anything a super intelligence can do
* [[Simulation termination]]
** Examples: [[The Matrix]]
** Causing: Direct destruction of humanity
* [[Exotic physics]]
** Examples: Creation of false vacuums
** Causing: Direct destruction, simulation termination or environmental collapse

=== Conflict ===
* [[Nuclear war]]
** Examples: Anything from a single accidental detonation or rogue state up to collapse of MAD and muti-national warfare
** Causing: Accelerating warfare or environmental collapse
* [[Biological warfare]] or another catastrophic natural super virus
** Examples: National state attacks through to a [[28 days later]] style ultra-transmissable and deadly plague
** Causing: destroying humanity, accelerating warfare, natural disasters or environmental collapse
* [[Cyberwarfare]], [[Terrorism|terrorism]], rogue states
** Examples: Contemporary nation-state hacking, WannaCry<ref>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WannaCry_ransomware_attack</ref> type events, terrorist use of social media, terrorist attacks, contained biological or nuclear attacks
** Causes: Accelerating warfare due to national existential risks<ref>e.g. [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_interference_in_the_2016_United_States_elections Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections]</ref>, social collapse<ref>e.g. spread of Islamism</ref> or reactionary governments<ref>e.g. Theresa May's mass surveillance programmes</ref>

=== Environmental ===
* [[Accelerating climate change]]
** Examples: This happened now :(
** Causing: Further natural disasters, depletion of the world's resources or driving dangerous bio or geo engineering projects
* [[Opposition to geo-engineering|Errant geo-engineering]] or [[Opposition to genetically modified food|GMOs]]
** Examples: Solar radiation management, carbon dioxide removal projects
** Causing: Depletion of resources, further environmental disasters, nano-pollution or environmental collapse
* [[Natural disasters]] or [[Cosmic disasters]]
** Examples: Asteroid strike, deadly cosmic radiation, ice shelf collapse, bee extinction, crop plagues, ice age. Could even include the Sun's supernova, proton decay and final heat death of the universe.
** Causing: Resource depletion, social or environmental collapse
* [[Resource depletion]]
** Examples: Fossil fuels, clean water, serious air quality impact, rare earths, localised [[overpopulation]]
** Causing - Social or environmental collapse
* [[Gray goo|Nanotechnology]]
** Examples: Gray goo
** Causes: Destruction of humanity, natural disasters or environmental collapse

=== Future computing and intelligence ===
* [[AI risk|Errant AI]], [[posthuman transhumanism|posthuman]] take over or computing overcomplexity
** Examples: [[Unfriendly AI|Unfriendly artificial general intelligence]], unfriendly elite transhumans (e.g. Khan from Star Trek)<ref>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khan_Noonien_Singh</ref> or unstable interconnected computing (e.g the events of [[Dune]]: The Butlerian Jihad)<ref>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dune:_The_Butlerian_Jihad</ref>
** Causing: Accelerating warfare, societal collapse, totalitarianism

=== Social ===
* [[Oligarchic transhumanism|Mega-autocractic]] / [[Fascist transhumanism|Neo-fascist]] or other totalitarian dystopias
** Examples: [[1984]], [[Gattaca]], [[Star Trek]] etc
** Causing: Social and [[technological stagnation]] or 21st century soma
* [[21st century soma]]
** Examples: [[Brave New World]], [[Idiocracy]]
** Causing: technological stagnation or social collapse
* [[Social collapse]]
** Examples: Max Max, 28 Days Later etc
** Causing: Accelerating warfare, cyberwarfare/terrorism, technological stagnation, autocracy