Редактирование: Superforecasting (раздел)

== Edge Master Class in Superforecasting ==

Edge has published a series of videos of five "master-classes" taught by Philip Tetlock on the subject of superforecasting:

# [http://edge.org/conversation/philip_tetlock-edge-master-class-2015-a-short-course-in-superforecasting-class-i Forecasting Tournaments: What We Discover When We Start Scoring Accuracy]
# [http://edge.org/conversation/philip_tetlock-edge-master-class-2015-a-short-course-in-superforecasting-class-ii Tournaments: Prying Open Closed Minds in Unnecessarily Polarized Debates]
# [http://edge.org/conversation/philip_tetlock-edge-master-class-2015-a-short-course-in-superforecasting-class-iii Counterfactual History: The Elusive Control Groups in Policy Debates]
# [http://edge.org/conversation/philip_tetlock-edge-master-class-2015-a-short-course-in-superforecasting-class-iv Skillful Backward and Forward Reasoning in Time: Superforecasting Requires "Counterfactualizing"]
# [https://edge.org/conversation/philip_tetlock-edge-master-class-2015-a-short-course-in-superforecasting-class-v Condensing it All Into Four Big Problems and a Killer App Solution]