Are We Living In Nick Bostrom’s Speculation: различия между версиями

A similar problem is that the number of simulations that the base civilisation runs is probably different from the average as well. An additional variable <i>N_base</i> should be added. Assuming that the number of individuals in the first-level simulations is similar to the average for the simulations, the following change should be made:

This formula is more correct than the one suggested by Bostrom.However, even with all these changes there is still one fundamental problem with the formula. The <i>f_P</i> variable is completely irrelevant for the base civilisation. As will be shown later, the base civilisation is governed by different laws than the simulated civilisations. Since the transition to the posthuman stage by the base civilisation is a non-repeating event, whose outcome is already determined (although it usually cannot be obtained from within a simulation) and which directly corresponds with the nature of the reality (existence of the metaverse). With regards to the base civilisation, instead of <i>f_P</i> probability a different variable have to be used that takes on the values of 0 (base civilisation reaches the posthuman stage and, if <i>N_base</i>&gt;0, the metaverse exists) and 1 (base civilisation does not reach the posthuman stage, there is no metaverse and we live in the real world).